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Analysts say China could cut soybean imports by more than 10 million tons this year, over 10 percent below last year, as domestic production and soybean substitutes gain ground. Rapeseed meal, cottonseed meal and sunflower meal are becoming more economical as imported soymeal costs rise with trade frictions.
A low-protein feed with added amino acids could cut soymeal demand by up to 7 percent.
Substitution away from soybean meal reduces Chinese import demand for soybeans and meal, which is bearish for soybeans and soybean meal. Rising alternative meal demand supports sunflower, cottonseed and canola meal prices.
benisonmedia.comAshwani Verma2019年8月21日在过去 803 次看跌的贸易事件之后，大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%（51% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.7%），20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 384 次看跌的贸易事件之后，豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%（47% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.6%），20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
