A University of Illinois analysis reports that China imports about 100 million tons of soybeans a year, mostly from the US and Brazil. It says China is pursuing soybean self-sufficiency by reducing soybean meal use and expanding domestic soybean output.
The article focuses on the Ministry of Agriculture's target for lower soymeal inclusion in feed.
If China lowers soymeal inclusion rates in feed, its long-run demand for soybean meal and soybeans would shrink, which is bearish for global soybean complex prices and export demand from Brazil and the US.
在过去 384 次看跌的贸易事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
在过去 803 次看跌的贸易事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。