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China is reportedly confident it can reduce its reliance on U.S. soybeans by cutting soymeal rations for hogs from about 20% to 12%, a change that could reduce demand by up to 27 million tonnes a year. The 25% Chinese tariff on U.S. soybeans is accelerating this push.
A sustained cut in China's soymeal inclusion would structurally reduce import demand for U.S. soybeans and soymeal, pressuring U.S. soybean and meal prices.
在过去 803 次看跌的贸易事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 384 次看跌的贸易事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。