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The USDA Foreign Agricultural Service projects Australia's 2026/27 wheat production at 29 million tonnes, down from an estimated 36 million in 2025/26. The decline reflects a 4.8% cut in harvested area, mainly from dry conditions in southern Queensland and northern New South Wales, and yields of 2.46 t/ha, below last season's 2.9 t/ha.
Wheat exports are also projected to fall.
A roughly 20% drop in Australian output removes a major exporter's supply from world wheat markets and supports prices, especially as El Niño adds downside risk to the crop.
world-grain.comJohn Reidy2026年4月29日在过去 769 次看涨的报告事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（53% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%），20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
