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The USDA FAS annual report projects EU total grain production at about 277 million tonnes in 2026-27, down from 288.8 million in 2025-26, with planted area slightly reduced. High fertilizer and fuel costs, linked to the Strait of Hormuz closure and the EU CBAM, are weighing on input decisions.
A roughly 4% drop in EU grain output and reduced fertilizer use could lift European feed grain import demand and support global grain prices, with the risk of a larger drop in 2027-28.
在过去 1,040 次看涨的报告事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.9% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
在过去 769 次看涨的报告事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(53% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。