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A USDA Foreign Agricultural Service report projects Australian wheat output at 31 million tonnes for 2025/26, down from 34.1 million, and barley at 12.5 million tonnes, down from 13.3 million. Both remain well above their 10-year averages, while dry conditions persist in South Australia and western Victoria.
Wheat exports are forecast at 23 million tonnes, down 3 million.
Lower projected exports from a top wheat exporter tighten global supply, supporting wheat and barley prices. Output still being well above average limits the upside, so the move is likely moderate.
ukragroconsult.com2025年4月30日
world-grain.comJohn Reidy2025年4月29日历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 769 次看涨的报告事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（53% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%），20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
