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USDA's first 2026/27 world wheat outlook in the May WASDE shows global production at 819.1 million tonnes, down 2.9%. Declines are concentrated in the US, EU, Argentina and Australia, with US hard red winter at 14.0 million tonnes, the smallest since 1957.
Ending stocks and trade are also lower.
A tighter global wheat balance, led by the US Plains drought, supports prices across wheat classes. Reduced exporter supplies could lift export prices into the new marketing year.
在过去 769 次看涨的报告事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(53% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
在过去 180 次看涨的报告事件之后,小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(53% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.1% 至 +3.7%),20 个交易日内为 -0.6%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。