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USDA's March 31 Prospective Plantings showed 2023/24 US wheat area at 49.9 million acres, up 9% and the highest since 2016, with winter wheat up 13%. Spring wheat fell 2% to its lowest since 2017, and grain stocks data was also released.
Higher area is bearish on its face, but the market's rise in HRW futures shows outside bullish factors dominate. Lower spring wheat area could tighten supply later in the year.
在过去 406 次中性的报告事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.0%。
在过去 180 次看涨的报告事件之后,小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(53% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.1% 至 +3.7%),20 个交易日内为 -0.6%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。