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USDA's May report put the 2026-27 US winter wheat crop at 1.048 billion bushels, down 25% and the smallest since 1965, about 160 million bushels below analyst expectations. Hard red winter wheat was pegged at 514.8 million bushels, down 36%, and July HRW futures reached $7.50 on May 13.
A sharply smaller US HRW crop reduces export supplies and supports wheat prices. Weaker US export flows could partly offset the bullish production story.
在过去 769 次看涨的报告事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(53% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
在过去 180 次看涨的报告事件之后,小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(53% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.1% 至 +3.7%),20 个交易日内为 -0.6%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。