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EU rapeseed crop is turning out smaller than expected after repeated heatwaves, with disappointing yields and downward crop revisions in several countries. Czech harvest yields are running well below last year, and Czech output may fall to 850-900 thousand tonnes.
Smaller EU supply, plus firmer crude and Ukrainian export risk, is supporting rapeseed prices despite a projected record global crop. Tighter EU availability tends to lift MATIF rapeseed and related meal and oil values.
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 184 次看涨的天气事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(53% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +2.4%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
在过去 40 次看涨的天气事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.6%(63% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -3.7% 至 +5.3%),20 个交易日内为 +6.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。