Rapeseed prices above 750 euros per tonne in Paris reflect a major Canadian crop loss of about 50% from heat, with Canada's exports falling in step. Soy and palm oil prices are more than double earlier years, supported by crude oil and biofuel demand, while soybean meal has rebounded to about $400 per short ton on renewed Chinese demand.
Tight global oilseed supply and high vegetable oil prices push up the cost of meal alternatives, while a shortfall in canola reduces available canola meal for feed. Prices are expected to ease in the second half of 2022 but stay above average.
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 453 次看涨的天气事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +2.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
在过去 181 次看涨的天气事件之后,棕榈油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(56% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.9% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
在过去 184 次看涨的天气事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(53% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +2.4%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。