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COCERAL forecasts the EU27+UK 2026 grain harvest at 279 million tonnes, down 8 million from its July estimate and 28.4 million (9.2%) below 2025. Wheat excluding durum is cut to 137.5 million tonnes, mainly on weaker German and Polish crops, and maize is cut to 48.6 million tonnes after heat and drought during pollination.
A smaller EU crop, especially lower maize and barley, tightens European feed grain supply and supports import demand and prices for corn, barley and wheat.
在过去 1,040 次看涨的报告事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.9% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
在过去 769 次看涨的报告事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(53% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。