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COCERAL's first 2026 estimate forecasts European grain and oilseed production of 296.7 million tonnes, down from 306.6 million in 2025, covering the EU and UK. Wheat (excluding durum) is forecast at 143.9 million tonnes versus 147.5 million, as yields return to more normal levels after 2025's record.
Recent rainfall has improved soil moisture.
A smaller European harvest tightens export availability and supports wheat and barley prices, though favourable soil moisture limits how far the cut may go.
tridge.comVictor Langat2026年1月27日在过去 769 次看涨的报告事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（53% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%），20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
