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RIN prices fell sharply over the prior nine months, with D4 and D6 RINs closing near $0.56 and $0.555 in late March, down from above $1.50 a year earlier. The decline followed EPA's July 2023 RFS volume targets for 2023-2025.
The analysis attributes part of the fall to a lower soybean oil to heating oil (BOHO) spread and to excess RIN supply relative to mandates.
Lower RIN values reduce the extra income biofuel producers receive, cutting the economic incentive to run biodiesel and renewable diesel plants. That weakens demand for soybean oil and other fats used as feedstock.
在过去 351 次看跌的政策事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.0%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。