
US soybean oil futures have mostly traded between 65 and 75 cents per pound since mid-July, even as soybean futures reached three-year highs in early September and crude oil hovered near $100 per barrel. Rising imports of biodiesel and vegetable oil feedstocks, following EPA's record biofuel mandates, have created excess supply.
EPA small-refinery exemptions add uncertainty to near-term demand.
Ample imported supply is limiting soybean oil price gains, which weighs on crush margins and the value of oil share for meal-focused feed buyers. Soybean oil prices are likely to stay range-bound unless biofuel demand strengthens or exemptions shift.
在过去 351 次看跌的政策事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.0%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。