
July Chicago soybean oil fell 3.2% to $1,035/ton on Friday, down about 5% over three sessions and a month, amid reduced export demand for US oil, possible cancellation of duties on Canadian rapeseed oil used in US biofuel, and reports the White House will not cut small refinery biofuel mandates. July Brent fell 2.4% over two sessions to $62.8/barrel after OPEC+ agreed to raise output, though prices rebounded Monday.
India cut its basic crude edible oil import duty from 27.5% to 16.5% on May 30.
Uncertainty over US biofuel blending demand and weaker crude weigh on soyoil prices, while India's duty cut should lift import demand for vegetable oils and support palm and soy oil prices, which feeds into soymeal and feed-fat supply.
在过去 351 次看跌的政策事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.0%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
在过去 548 次看涨的政策事件之后,棕榈油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(61% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.7% 至 +2.1%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 210 次看跌的政策事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.9%(48% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -3.8% 至 +3.2%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Biofuel policy uncertainty (no SRE mandate cut, possible removal of duties on Canadian canola oil for US biofuel) and weak export demand and crude weakness pressured soyoil, though this describes the prior Friday's decline.