July Chicago soybean oil fell 3.2% to $1,035/t on Friday amid reduced export demand, possible elimination of tariffs on Canadian rapeseed oil for US biofuel, and reports the White House will not cut small refinery biofuel mandates. Brent fell 2.4% to $62.8/barrel after OPEC+ raised output, then rebounded Monday.
India cut its basic import duty on crude palm, soybean and sunflower oil from 27.5% to 16.5% on May 30.
India's lower duty should boost vegetable oil import demand and support palm and sunflower oil prices, while weak US biofuel demand and crude keep soyoil under pressure.
在过去 351 次看跌的政策事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.0%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
在过去 548 次看涨的政策事件之后,棕榈油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(61% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.7% 至 +2.1%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 210 次看跌的政策事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.9%(48% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -3.8% 至 +3.2%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Same report on biofuel policy uncertainty, weak exports and lower crude weighing on soyoil; momentum carried into Monday, partly offset by India's duty cut supporting demand.