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Brazilian forecasters expect extreme weather to persist into 2025, with prolonged droughts, intense rainfall and above-average temperatures. Rio Grande do Sul is the most vulnerable state, and a weak La Niña is expected to last until February.
Drought and excess rain in southern Brazil threaten soybean and corn yields, which could tighten export supplies and support prices. The risk is moderate because the La Niña is expected to be mild and short-lived.
在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。