US grain futures rallied after weekend frost in Kansas, Colorado and Oklahoma and flooding in Arkansas, Nebraska and Illinois forced some growers to overseed. Wheat on CBOT reached a six-week high on Monday, with corn and soybeans also higher.
The full extent of the crop damage remained unclear.
Confirmed losses and resowing point to lower near-term production, supporting corn, soybean and wheat prices. The price response shows the market is reacting quickly to weather risk in key growing areas.
在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Weekend frost and flooding forced overseeding and drove a broad CBOT rally on May 1, with corn higher on potential planting and replanting losses.