Dry weather and record heat covered much of the Midwest in late September, with Iowa the main exception after heavy showers. The U.S. corn crop was 51% mature by September 24 versus a 64% average, and topsoil shortages affected large parts of Illinois and Michigan.
Nearly half of Iowa and Illinois pastures were rated poor to very poor.
Delayed maturity and dryness raise the risk of lower yields and drier grain at harvest, while poor pastures may push cattle and feed demand higher. These conditions support corn and feed prices.
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 79 次看涨的天气事件之后,架子牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(53% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +1.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。