
Inmet's agroclimatic projection calls for above-average temperatures across much of Brazil, with a risk of water deficit for second-crop corn in the Center-South. Excess humidity is flagged for parts of the North and South, including late-planted corn in northern Paraná, while winter crops such as wheat and oats are expected to benefit.
Heat and water deficit risk for Center-South safrinha corn could cut supply and lift corn prices, though the forecast is a projection rather than confirmed loss.
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 224 次中性的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(46% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
在过去 16 次中性的天气事件之后,燕麦 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.8%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -5.9% 至 +3.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。