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INRAE published research projecting that under high emissions, droughts and heatwaves could become 3 to 6 times more frequent in French wheat regions by 2100. Mild winters followed by wet springs could become up to 12 times more frequent in northern France.
The findings concern long-term yield risk rather than the current crop, so they have little direct effect on near-term prices.
inrae.fr2026年2月10日在过去 224 次中性的天气事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%（46% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.5%），20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
