
The National Integrated Drought Information System reports that spring rains have removed drought concerns across most of the Upper Midwest, leaving only about 2% of the region in drought, confined to western Iowa. Seasonal outlooks for May through July 2022 point to hotter, drier conditions in the western Midwest, which could bring drought back to parts of Iowa, southern Minnesota and northern Missouri.
Easing drought lowers near-term yield risk for corn and soybeans, which is mildly bearish, but the forecast for a hotter, drier summer keeps some upside risk in the new crop.
在过去 445 次中性的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
在过去 324 次中性的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。