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An Iowa Farm Bureau analysis notes drought across parts of the Midwest and High Plains, but says it is not widespread enough to lift prices. USDA corn yield expectations are 169.5 bu/acre and soybeans 49.4 bu/acre, with USDA price forecasts of $3.30 corn and a $9.30 soybean midpoint.
Localized drought losses are offset by strong yields elsewhere, so the balance sheet stays comfortable and prices see limited support from weather.
在过去 445 次中性的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
在过去 324 次中性的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。