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The EU Joint Research Centre's MARS bulletin reports a severe spring rainfall deficit in north-western Europe, with soil moisture critically low there. Iberia, Italy and Greece have had abundant rain, with Spain and Portugal forecast 15-20% above the five-year average yields.
Irreversible losses are expected in western Maghreb, eastern Ukraine and Cyprus.
Mixed EU yield prospects leave wheat and barley supply uncertain, with northern dryness offset by southern gains. Buyers should watch for further moisture stress in key feed-grain regions, which could firm feed grain prices.
joint-research-centre.ec.europa.eu2025年5月26日在过去 224 次中性的天气事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%（46% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.5%），20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 445 次中性的天气事件之后，玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%（52% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.6%），20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
