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AgVenture WSC analyst Mike Toohill reviewed soybean yield factors heading into August, noting well-below-normal July rainfall in the Dakotas, northern Nebraska, northwest Iowa, southern Kansas and eastern Ohio. Only 18% of the U.S. soybean crop was planted by April 28, and the analyst expects August heat to have less yield impact than maps suggest.
Dry patches and late planting raise some yield risk for soybeans, but the analyst's view that yields will hold limits the bullish price impulse for soybeans and meal.
agventurewsc.comKristen Wehmeyer2024年7月31日在过去 324 次中性的天气事件之后，大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%（52% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.7%），20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
在过去 55 次中性的天气事件之后，豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%（47% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.5%），20 个交易日内为 +0.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
