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US crude futures fell more than 4% on Tuesday to their lowest close since December, erasing all 2024 gains. Reports that Libya's rival governments could reach a deal to restore output, plus possible OPEC+ supply returns in October, weighed on prices alongside weak Chinese and US manufacturing data.
Expectations of returning Libyan and OPEC+ barrels plus softer demand signals point to ample supply and lower crude prices. Weaker energy prices reduce biofuel feedstock support for soybean oil and corn.
cnbc.comSpencer Kimball2024年9月3日在过去 255 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后，原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -2.4%（31% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -7.0% 至 +1.7%），20 个交易日内为 -5.0%。
在过去 250 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后，原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -3.1%（36% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -7.9% 至 +1.6%），20 个交易日内为 -5.5%。
在过去 28 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后，豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -2.7%（21% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -8.3% 至 -0.7%），20 个交易日内为 -2.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
WTI fell over 4% on the same day on Libya deal reports, possible OPEC+ supply returns and weak manufacturing data, the same drivers as Brent.
WTI fell over 4% on Libya deal reports, possible OPEC+ supply returns and weak manufacturing data, matching the same move.
WTI's 4% fall on Libya deal reports and weak manufacturing data moved in tandem with Brent, confirming the Sept 3 selloff.
