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S&P Global reports the global diesel market is tightening as Russia's full export ban, announced July 8, combines with Ukrainian strikes that may have up to 60% of Russian refining offline. European diesel margins have ballooned, with the ARA physical crack reaching $70.3 a barrel on July 13.
Russia also plans to import refined products.
Importing regions in Europe, Latin America and Africa will need replacement barrels, which keeps diesel cracks and freight costs elevated. Higher logistics costs raise the landed cost of imported feed ingredients.
spglobal.comAlexandra Vladimirova, Sophia Aung2026年7月14日在过去 90 次看涨的政策事件之后，ULSD / 柴油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.4%（66% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +4.1%），20 个交易日内为 +0.1%。
在过去 442 次看涨的政策事件之后，原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.4%（60% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -2.0% 至 +4.9%），20 个交易日内为 +2.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Russia's export ban plus Ukrainian strikes on refineries cut supply, with ARA diesel crack reaching $70.3 on July 13, the date of the move.
