Statistics Canada's June planting survey put 2016 seeded area for wheat, barley, corn and oats at 14.5 million hectares, 4.1% below 2015. A return to normal abandonment rates partly offsets that drop, and the USDA FAS forecasts total production of 52.56 million tonnes, nearly unchanged from 52.807 million in 2015-16.
Favorable prairie growing conditions point to average or slightly above-average yields.
Flat production combined with lower carry-in stocks from strong 2015-16 exports cuts total grain supplies by 3.68%, which modestly supports prices for Canadian feed grains such as barley, oats and wheat. The effect is limited because the production forecast itself is essentially unchanged.
在过去 406 次中性的报告事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.0%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 770 次中性的报告事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.1% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
在过去 35 次中性的报告事件之后,燕麦 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +2.5%),20 个交易日内为 -1.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。