
Analysts preview Statistics Canada's first 2019-20 production estimates, noting that AAFC figures already fall within pre-report trade expectations. The article also reviews historical price moves in canola, spring wheat and oat futures on report days.
Expectations are for no major surprise, so the report is unlikely to shift grain prices much, though the USDA's recent revisions have raised doubts about the data.
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 35 次中性的报告事件之后,燕麦 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +2.5%),20 个交易日内为 -1.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Statistics Canada's first 2019-20 production estimates were due around Aug 27-28, and report-day positioning in oat futures could plausibly have driven a sharp move via supply-expectation repricing.