The euro fell toward $1.17 after the US and Israel struck Iran, reportedly killing Iran's Supreme Leader and effectively closing the Strait of Hormuz. Surging energy prices added pressure on the euro as Europe sought natural gas supplies.
Brent retreated after Trump said Washington would not attack Iran before the November midterms.
Closure of Hormuz is a major supply shock to oil and LNG, raising energy, fertilizer and freight costs for feed producers. Brent's retreat on diplomatic signals shows the price risk is tied to headlines and could reverse quickly.
在过去 656 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.9%(63% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.7% 至 +6.6%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
在过去 36 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后,欧元(每 EUR 的 USD) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.0%(22% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.8% 至 -0.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.7%。
在过去 89 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(74% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.0% 至 +1.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
在过去 136 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后,天然气 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +2.7%(63% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.8% 至 +8.8%),20 个交易日内为 +4.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
US-Israel strikes on Iran and effective Hormuz closure drove a risk-off dollar bid and energy cost pressure on Europe, pushing the euro toward $1.17.
The euro fell toward $1.17 after the strikes on Iran and the Hormuz closure, showing dollar strength against its largest index component.