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Soybean oil broke out to contract highs in May on strong exports and optimism over biofuel blending mandates, then fell sharply in a series of selloffs since the May 14 high. The selloffs were attributed to rumors that EPA would grant a mass of Small Refinery Exemptions for more than 160 applications, which EPA has repeatedly denied.
Biofuel policy headlines on small refinery exemptions can swing domestic demand for soybean oil sharply, and the analyst sees bullish potential if buyers return, which would support soybean oil and crush margins for soymeal.
在过去 196 次中性的政策事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。