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CoBank's biofuels lead economist outlines 2025 headwinds from political and regulatory uncertainty, offset by strong exports and higher biofuel mandates abroad. EIA projects renewable diesel output rising from 210,000 to 230,000 barrels per day, while ethanol holds near 1.05 million b/d.
The outcome of the 45Z clean fuel tax credit under the incoming administration is flagged as a major driver.
Expected renewable diesel growth supports soybean oil and corn oil feedstock demand, while uncertainty over 45Z and E15 policy creates downside risk to ethanol and biofuel-linked crush economics.
mnbiofuels.orgLiliana Tovar2025年1月2日在过去 196 次中性的政策事件之后，豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%（52% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +2.0%），20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
在过去 439 次中性的政策事件之后，玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%（51% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +1.2%），20 个交易日内为 +1.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
