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University of Illinois farmdoc researchers argue that a binding RFS volume mandate, rather than tax credits, determines biomass-based diesel demand. They examine alternative scenarios for 2026 RVOs and what each implies for the BBD demand ceiling.
The piece is part of a series on the renewable diesel boom.
The size of the 2026 RVO sets the demand ceiling for soybean oil going into biofuels, so scenarios that lower mandates would be bearish for soybean oil prices.
farmdocdaily.illinois.eduHongxia Jiao2025年2月1日在过去 196 次中性的政策事件之后，豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%（52% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +2.0%），20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
