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Wheat prices fell 2.5-4.2% in the week as forecasts improved for EU and US crops after heavy rain, and traders took profits after a April-May rally. SovEcon cut its 2024 Russian wheat forecast to 85.7 million tons, while Strategie Grains raised its EU soft wheat forecast.
Improving Northern Hemisphere crop prospects offset Russian weather losses, pressuring wheat values. Feed buyers should expect softer wheat feed alternatives if the outlook holds.
在过去 334 次看跌的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
在过去 70 次看跌的天气事件之后,小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.6%(41% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -3.9% 至 +2.5%),20 个交易日内为 -1.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。