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Bloomberg reports that strong European wheat harvests are keeping global food costs under control, with prices down to less than half of last year's record highs. The USDA has forecast record global wheat output for 2023-24 on the back of the European crop.
Analysts say the outlook depends on June weather because global reserves remain tight.
Large European supply and lower wheat prices reduce feed and food input costs for buyers, but tight reserves leave the market exposed to any weather shock. A poor June could reverse the current downward trend.
在过去 334 次看跌的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。