The US dollar fell sharply after the July non-farm payrolls report showed 73k jobs against a 106k forecast, with the June and May figures revised down sharply. The report came alongside new US reciprocal tariff rates that hit several trading partners, including Switzerland at 39% and Canada at 35%.
A weaker dollar and softer US labour data tend to support dollar-denominated commodity prices, including grains and oilseeds, while the tariff changes add uncertainty to export flows. The payrolls surprise also raises expectations of Fed rate cuts.
在过去 47 次看跌的报告事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(34% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.8% 至 +0.2%),20 个交易日内为 -0.7%。
在过去 747 次看涨的报告事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.1%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
在过去 1,040 次看涨的报告事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.9% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。