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2024. 6. 12.보고서글로벌

WASDE: Soybean ending stock expectations increased, while wheat lower and corn steady

USDA raised its 2024-25 U.S. soybean ending stocks by 10 million bushels to 455 million, citing lower crush, and lowered wheat stocks to 758 million bushels. It held corn ending stocks at 2.1 billion bushels.

The agency raised its U.S. wheat export forecast sharply to 800 million bushels and cut Russian wheat output to 83 million tons.

중요한 이유

Lower Russian and EU wheat supplies and stronger U.S. export demand support wheat prices, while higher soybean stocks weigh on soybeans. Corn is steady, with stocks at their largest since 2018-19.

영향 대상밀 (SRW)▲밀 (HRW)▲대두▼옥수수◆

출처 1건
agri-pulse.comNoah Wicks2024. 6. 12.

가격 반응 및 이력

밀 (SRW)▲상승현재까지1d -0.3%5d -2.1%20d -3.3%

과거 상승 보고서 이벤트 769건 이후, 밀 (SRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.2% 변동(상승 53%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+2.0%), 20거래일 동안 +0.2%.

2021. 10. 12.USDA officials increase soybean, corn yield estimates | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.+0.7%
2023. 12. 8.USDA trims forecast for soybean, wheat supplies | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.-4.0%
2024. 12. 11.December WASDE Shows Decrease in US Corn and Wheat Ending Stocks in 2024/2025-0.4%
2019. 11. 12.WASDE Lowers Wheat, Corn and Soybean Forecasts | AgWired+3.4%
2021. 1. 12.WASDE Lowers Corn/Soy Ending Stocks Again - AgWeb+2.3%

밀 (HRW)▲상승현재까지1d -2.7%5d -8.3%20d -9.7%

과거 상승 보고서 이벤트 180건 이후, 밀 (HRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.4% 변동(상승 53%; 중간 50% 범위 -2.1%~+3.7%), 20거래일 동안 -0.6%.

2022. 5. 12.USDA warns on corn, winter wheat crops due to weather | 2022-05-12 | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.+11.7%
2023. 5. 31.USDA lowers ag trade forecast for FY 2023 | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.+4.7%
2017. 5. 10.Winter wheat takes a hit in USDA forecast | 2017-05-10 | Agri-Pulse | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.-0.6%
2023. 5. 12.Lower-Than-Expected Winter Wheat Production Sends KC Wheat Futures Soaring-3.9%
2021. 7. 12.July WASDE optimistic for wheat but less so for corn and soybeans - Agweek | #1 source for agriculture news, farming, markets+8.8%

대두▼하락현재까지1d -0.1%5d -0.3%20d -3.0%

과거 하락 보고서 이벤트 788건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.3% 변동(상승 47%; 중간 50% 범위 -2.0%~+1.5%), 20거래일 동안 -0.9%.

2021. 3. 9.Corn, soy, wheat ending stocks hold steady for March | 2021-03-09 | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.-1.3%
2021. 10. 12.USDA officials increase soybean, corn yield estimates | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.-0.5%
2023. 6. 12.USDA Increases Corn, Soybean, Wheat Ending Stocks - ProAg+5.8%
2021. 9. 10.USDA raises corn and soy yield forecasts, pushing down price expectations | 2021-09-10 | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.+3.0%
2023. 11. 10.Yield, Production and Stocks Increase Sends Corn and Soy Lower Following November WASDE+2.4%

옥수수◆중립현재까지1d +0.6%5d -0.1%20d -7.3%

과거 중립 보고서 이벤트 770건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.2% 변동(상승 54%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.1%~+1.6%), 20거래일 동안 +0.7%.

2021. 3. 9.Corn, soy, wheat ending stocks hold steady for March | 2021-03-09 | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.-10.3%
2021. 12. 9.USDA maintains corn, soybean stocks estimates, gives bearish wheat figures in December WASDE | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.-0.4%
2025. 2. 11.USDA Defies Expectations, Holds Corn and Soybean Ending Stocks Steady+1.4%
2026. 5. 1.April WASDE Holds Corn, Soybean Ending Stocks Steady, Raises Wheat Stocks-1.4%
2024. 11. 11.WASDE Shows Decrease in US Corn and Soybean Ending Stocks in 2024/2025-1.2%

각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.

밀 (SRW) WHEAT · GP ▸

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밀 (HRW) KWHEAT · GP ▸

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