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2023. 5. 12.보고서미국

Lower-Than-Expected Winter Wheat Production Sends KC Wheat Futures Soaring

USDA's May WASDE report surprised the market with lower-than-expected all-wheat production and ending stocks, sending Kansas City HRW wheat futures sharply higher. Old-crop corn exports were cut and 2023-24 corn production was set at a record 15.265 billion bushels, above trade estimates.

Corn and soybean markets fell on lower old-crop demand and large new-crop estimates.

중요한 이유

A smaller US winter wheat crop tightens HRW supplies and supports wheat prices, while record new-crop corn and soybean output pressures feed grain prices lower over the coming year.

영향 대상밀 (SRW)▲대두▼옥수수▼밀 (HRW)▲

출처 2건
dtnpf.comDana Mantini2023. 5. 12.
graincentral.comGuest Author2023. 5. 16.

가격 반응 및 이력

밀 (SRW)▲상승현재까지1d +0.3%5d -1.1%20d -6.9%

과거 상승 보고서 이벤트 769건 이후, 밀 (SRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.2% 변동(상승 53%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+2.0%), 20거래일 동안 +0.2%.

2026. 5. 12.Report Reaction | Wheat futures surge after USDA pegs production well below trade expectations - Pro Farmer+2.0%
2024. 3. 29.EU sees soft wheat production falling to four-year low in 2024/25-1.3%
2020. 9. 30.Corn, soy, wheat surge on lower-than-expected U.S. grain stocks | Financial Post+2.5%
2018. 6. 13.Wheat Prices Rally on Lower U.S. Winter Wheat Production Estimate - Northern Ag Network-2.0%
2022. 9. 30.Hard Red Winter Wheat production lowest since 1957 - Oklahoma Farm Report+0.4%

대두▼하락현재까지1d -0.6%5d -7.6%20d -3.9%

과거 하락 보고서 이벤트 788건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.3% 변동(상승 47%; 중간 50% 범위 -2.0%~+1.5%), 20거래일 동안 -0.9%.

2019. 2. 8.Soybean Production Up in 2018, USDA Reports Winter Wheat Seedings and Grain Stocks also reported-1.1%
2023. 11. 10.Yield, Production and Stocks Increase Sends Corn and Soy Lower Following November WASDE+2.4%
2023. 7. 12.Wheat, Soybean Carryover Larger Than Expected | Red River Farm Network-1.9%
2025. 6. 30.U.S. grains: Soy futures end mixed; corn and wheat sag after USDA reports | The Western Producer+0.4%
2024. 8. 12.Soybean Futures Crumble Following Increased Acres, Record Yield and Production-8.7%

옥수수▼하락현재까지1d +0.1%5d -8.7%20d -8.7%

과거 하락 보고서 이벤트 1,102건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.2% 변동(상승 47%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.8%~+1.3%), 20거래일 동안 +0.0%.

2022. 4. 8.PF Report Reaction: U.S. corn, wheat ending stocks higher than expected - Pro Farmer-0.7%
2022. 6. 10.USDA projects larger than expected U.S. winter wheat crop, unexpectedly boosts 2022-23 corn ending stocks - Pro Farmer-1.2%
2022. 2. 9.PF Report Reaction: U.S. ending stocks higher than expected - Pro Farmer+0.5%
2019. 2. 8.Soybean Production Up in 2018, USDA Reports Winter Wheat Seedings and Grain Stocks also reported+0.8%
2023. 11. 10.Yield, Production and Stocks Increase Sends Corn and Soy Lower Following November WASDE+0.0%

밀 (HRW)▲상승현재까지1d 0.0%5d -3.9%20d -10.5%

과거 상승 보고서 이벤트 180건 이후, 밀 (HRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.4% 변동(상승 53%; 중간 50% 범위 -2.1%~+3.7%), 20거래일 동안 -0.6%.

2026. 5. 12.Report Reaction | Wheat futures surge after USDA pegs production well below trade expectations - Pro Farmer+4.5%
2022. 9. 30.Hard Red Winter Wheat production lowest since 1957 - Oklahoma Farm Report-0.2%
2024. 10. 31.CBOT wheat firms again on worse than expected winter wheat conditions - AgriInsite-0.3%
2023. 9. 12.Wheat prices strengthened by lower global production - Farmers Weekly+2.4%
2026. 5. 12.Lowest Hard Red Winter Wheat Production Since 1957 Highlighted in Latest WASDE Report - Oklahoma Farm Report+4.5%

각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.

밀 (SRW) WHEAT · GP ▸

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대두 SOY · GP ▸

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