◂ 이벤트 타임라인

2023. 5. 31.보고서미국

USDA lowers ag trade forecast for FY 2023

USDA cut its FY2023 forecast for U.S. agricultural export value to $181 billion, down $3.5 billion from February, and projected a $17 billion trade deficit. Corn exports were cut $2.1 billion to $14.5 billion amid Brazilian competition, and wheat exports were cut $900 million to $7.4 billion due to smaller winter wheat production from drought.

중요한 이유

Lower projected US corn and wheat export volumes reduce demand and weigh on prices, while the drought-hit winter wheat crop offers some support for wheat.

영향 대상옥수수▼밀 (SRW)▼밀 (HRW)▲대두▲

출처 1건
agri-pulse.comBill Tomson2023. 5. 31.

가격 반응 및 이력

옥수수▼하락현재까지1d 0.0%5d -1.8%20d +0.1%

과거 하락 보고서 이벤트 1,102건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.2% 변동(상승 47%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.8%~+1.3%), 20거래일 동안 +0.0%.

2022. 11. 30.US cuts billions of dollars off of FY 23 ag export forecast | 2022-11-29 | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.-3.9%
2021. 1. 6.USDA: Mexican stance against GMO hurts farmers | 2021-01-05 | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.+5.2%
2021. 9. 10.USDA raises corn and soy yield forecasts, pushing down price expectations | 2021-09-10 | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.+1.1%
2024. 8. 28.Ag trade deficit to grow in FY25, as Chinese market shrinks | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.+4.4%
2019. 5. 10.[Article Headline] | 2019-05-10 | Agri-Pulse | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.+5.8%

밀 (SRW)▼하락현재까지1d +0.1%5d -3.2%20d +9.0%

과거 하락 보고서 이벤트 1,006건 이후, 밀 (SRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.0% 변동(상승 50%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.6%~+1.8%), 20거래일 동안 +0.3%.

2022. 3. 9.USDA forecast larger wheat stocks despite war, but warns of uncertainty | 2022-03-09 | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.-3.1%
2018. 3. 29.Farmers plan to cut corn, soybean acreage, USDA says | 2018-03-29 | Agri-Pulse | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.+1.5%
2021. 12. 9.USDA maintains corn, soybean stocks estimates, gives bearish wheat figures in December WASDE | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.-6.6%
2025. 5. 14.USDA forecasts lower wheat, corn, sorghum prices for 2025/26-3.8%
2024. 2. 19.Agriculture Canada has lowered its canola export forecast for MY 2023/24+1.0%

밀 (HRW)▲상승현재까지1d +0.9%5d +4.7%20d +2.2%

과거 상승 보고서 이벤트 180건 이후, 밀 (HRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.4% 변동(상승 53%; 중간 50% 범위 -2.1%~+3.7%), 20거래일 동안 -0.6%.

2017. 5. 10.Winter wheat takes a hit in USDA forecast | 2017-05-10 | Agri-Pulse | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.-0.6%
2022. 5. 12.USDA warns on corn, winter wheat crops due to weather | 2022-05-12 | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.+11.7%
2024. 6. 12.WASDE: Soybean ending stock expectations increased, while wheat lower and corn steady | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.-8.3%
2020. 2. 20.USDA's acreage, price projections for 2020 - Brownfield Ag News-5.7%
2026. 3. 31.CRMAgri - Latest - USDA Highlights: Wheat prices gain after US sowings forecast at lowest on record-3.0%

대두▲상승현재까지1d +0.3%5d +4.4%20d +11.9%

과거 상승 보고서 이벤트 747건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.3% 변동(상승 54%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+2.1%), 20거래일 동안 +0.8%.

2023. 12. 8.USDA trims forecast for soybean, wheat supplies | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.+0.2%
2019. 9. 12.USDA lowers corn, soybean yield estimates | 2019-09-12 | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.+4.1%
2020. 6. 11.June USDA report on par with trade expectations | 2020-06-11 | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.+0.7%
2021. 8. 12.USDA lowers corn, soybean yield estimates due to drought | 2021-08-12 | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.-3.4%
2021. 2. 5.US sets new record for ag exports to China in 2020 | 2021-02-05 | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.-0.4%

각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.

옥수수 CORN · GP ▸

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밀 (SRW) WHEAT · GP ▸

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