World Bank says Ukraine war may prompt grain shortages in poor countries

과거 상승 지정학 이벤트 361건 이후, 밀 (SRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.7% 변동(상승 58%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+3.7%), 20거래일 동안 +1.3%.

• 2022. 4. 15.Ukraine says grain on ships in blocked Black Sea ports may deteriorate | Reuters-0.7%
• 2022. 4. 6.A fertilizer shortage, worsened by war in Ukraine, is driving up global food prices and scarcity-2.3%
• 2022. 2. 25.Grain exporters tap EU supplies as war shuts Ukraine ports -traders+9.4%
• 2022. 3. 21.Ukraine could lose $6 bln in grain exports with ports blocked | Reuters+15.8%
• 2023. 7. 15.Why allowing Ukraine to ship grain during Russia's war matters to the world | AP News+2.4%

과거 상승 지정학 이벤트 323건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.5% 변동(상승 57%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.5%~+2.9%), 20거래일 동안 +0.9%.

• 2022. 4. 15.Ukraine says grain on ships in blocked Black Sea ports may deteriorate | Reuters+2.1%
• 2022. 4. 6.A fertilizer shortage, worsened by war in Ukraine, is driving up global food prices and scarcity-1.9%
• 2022. 2. 25.Grain exporters tap EU supplies as war shuts Ukraine ports -traders+6.6%
• 2022. 3. 21.Ukraine could lose $6 bln in grain exports with ports blocked | Reuters+1.5%
• 2023. 7. 15.Why allowing Ukraine to ship grain during Russia's war matters to the world | AP News-8.6%

과거 상승 지정학 이벤트 12건 이후, 조곡(벼)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +1.6% 변동(상승 58%; 중간 50% 범위 -0.5%~+6.8%), 20거래일 동안 +5.4%.

• 2022. 3. 25.The feed factor: Global maize shortage could affect local rice market | The Business Standard-0.0%
• 2022. 7. 6.Wheat shortages bode well for Vietnamese rice+2.4%
• 2026. 9. 25.What’s Behind the Latest Surge in Grain and Oilseed Prices?-0.3%
• 2026. 4. 30.From surplus to strain: Iran war and El Nino threaten global rice supply - The Japan Times+12.1%
• 2026. 5. 1.Thai and Vietnamese farmers may stop planting rice because of the Iran war. Here’s why+8.1%