More crowded US dollar trade ramps up expectations for euro parity: Reuters poll

過去の強気なマクロイベント2,356件の後、米ドル指数(広範) は5営業日で中央値 +0.2% 動き（60% が上昇。中央50%は -0.3% から +0.7%）、20営業日では +0.4% 動きました。

• 2026/06/24US dollar strengthens to 13-month high on Fed rate hike expectations | Reuters-0.1%
• 2025/05/01FOREX US dollar rallies on continued trade deal optimism; yen slumps | Reuters-0.4%
• 2024/11/15Dollar notches weekly gain as traders reassess rate cut expectations+0.1%
• 2023/10/12Dollar gains after US consumer prices rise more than expected+0.9%
• 2021/11/23Dollar gains, euro recovers on better than expected data | Reuters+0.5%

過去の弱気なマクロイベント533件の後、ユーロ(1 EURあたりUSD) は5営業日で中央値 -0.3% 動き（33% が上昇。中央50%は -1.2% から +0.2%）、20営業日では -0.5% 動きました。

• 2024/12/04Euro to stay weak, but avoid parity to USD for now: Reuters poll-0.1%
• 2022/06/28Euro dips as markets manage expectations of ECB rate hikes | Reuters-3.3%
• 2022/07/13Explainer: Why the euro's fall below parity versus dollar matters+1.7%
• 2025/05/22US dollar gains, sentiment still frayed; euro falters | Reuters+0.2%
• 2022/07/13ECB is 'attentive' to exchange rate as euro hits parity with dollar | Reuters+1.7%