Fed Chief Warsh Puts Prices Over Jobs, Lifting Rate-Hike Odds to 57%

過去の強気なマクロイベント2,356件の後、米ドル指数(広範) は5営業日で中央値 +0.2% 動き（60% が上昇。中央50%は -0.3% から +0.7%）、20営業日では +0.4% 動きました。

• 2026/02/06Won-Dollar Rate Breaks 1,470 on Risk-Off Sentiment - Seoul Economic Daily-0.8%
• 2019/08/01Gold prices slip to two-week low as US Fed dashes hopes of more rate cuts+1.1%
• 2023/07/26Fed lifts rates, Powell leaves door open to another hike in September+0.6%
• 2018/09/26Gold prices fall following Fed rate hike+0.2%
• 2018/11/04Seoul: Stocks fall on trade war concerns, Fed rate hike fears - The Business Times+0.7%

過去の弱気なマクロイベント301件の後、トウモロコシ は5営業日で中央値 -0.1% 動き（47% が上昇。中央50%は -2.2% から +1.3%）、20営業日では +0.2% 動きました。

• 2023/07/26Fed lifts rates, Powell leaves door open to another hike in September-13.9%
• 2021/09/23Gold prices ease as dollar firms on Fed rate hike comments | Financial Post+1.3%
• 2016/12/15Fed lifts rates, sees faster pace of hikes in Trump's first year-2.2%
• 2021/06/17Dollar surges to two-month high on Fed rate-hike projection-2.4%
• 2022/01/28Hawkish Fed a headwind for commodity prices | Capital Economics+1.3%

過去の弱気なマクロイベント273件の後、大豆 は5営業日で中央値 -0.4% 動き（44% が上昇。中央50%は -2.4% から +1.4%）、20営業日では -0.5% 動きました。

• 2024/07/22China cuts lending rates to boost economic growth following weaker Q2 GDP data-1.8%
• 2023/07/26Fed lifts rates, Powell leaves door open to another hike in September-4.5%
• 2016/12/15Fed lifts rates, sees faster pace of hikes in Trump's first year-1.7%
• 2017/05/03Dollar, June Rate-Hike Odds Soar | Investing.com AU+0.8%
• 2021/06/17Dollar surges to two-month high on Fed rate-hike projection-4.4%