The U.S. Now Has a Nearly 90% Chance of Seeing El Niño This Summer

過去の強気な天候イベント1,465件の後、トウモロコシ は5営業日で中央値 +0.2% 動き（54% が上昇。中央50%は -1.4% から +1.9%）、20営業日では +0.9% 動きました。

• 2026/03/13El Niño Watch: 62% Chance of Arrival This Summer, But Drew Lerner Warns Extreme Forecasts May Be Overblown - AgWeb+4.1%
• 2026/01/21Timing of La Niña Exit, El Niño Entrance is Unclear, Raising Questions About Dryness for Spring and Summer - AgWeb+0.8%
• 2026/10/02Record El Niño Behind Historic Rains Stalling Harvest Across the U.S. - AgWeb-1.6%
• 2017/05/19El Niño again? This is why it’s hard to tell. | Climate Change+1.3%
• 2026/05/14US forecaster says El Nino has 82% chance of developing by July | Reuters-0.4%

過去の強気な天候イベント1,079件の後、大豆 は5営業日で中央値 +0.3% 動き（54% が上昇。中央50%は -1.4% から +2.0%）、20営業日では +0.9% 動きました。

• 2026/03/13El Niño Watch: 62% Chance of Arrival This Summer, But Drew Lerner Warns Extreme Forecasts May Be Overblown - AgWeb-3.7%
• 2026/01/21Timing of La Niña Exit, El Niño Entrance is Unclear, Raising Questions About Dryness for Spring and Summer - AgWeb+1.4%
• 2026/10/02Record El Niño Behind Historic Rains Stalling Harvest Across the U.S. - AgWeb+0.3%
• 2017/05/19El Niño again? This is why it’s hard to tell. | Climate Change-0.6%
• 2026/05/14US forecaster says El Nino has 82% chance of developing by July | Reuters-1.3%

過去の強気な天候イベント1,072件の後、小麦(SRW) は5営業日で中央値 +0.2% 動き（55% が上昇。中央50%は -1.4% から +2.3%）、20営業日では +0.3% 動きました。

• 2026/03/13El Niño Watch: 62% Chance of Arrival This Summer, But Drew Lerner Warns Extreme Forecasts May Be Overblown - AgWeb-0.2%
• 2024/03/14US forecaster sees higher chance of La Nina conditions this summer | Reuters+0.4%
• 2017/05/19El Niño again? This is why it’s hard to tell. | Climate Change+3.0%
• 2026/06/01Record global temperatures possible as chance of a 'super El Niño' grows-2.6%
• 2017/03/09El Nino may arrive this summer and fall+0.7%