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2026/10/02天候米国

Record El Niño Behind Historic Rains Stalling Harvest Across the U.S.

Record September rainfall stalled harvest from Nebraska to Ohio, with Lincoln, Nebraska setting a daily precipitation record of 10.4 inches. Iowa recorded its wettest September on record, and some areas of the Corn Belt received more than 30 inches of combined August and September rain.

Nutrien's Eric Snodgrass says the El Niño pattern is still strengthening and has not yet peaked.

重要性

Excess rain delays harvest, raises quality risks and may reduce yields in key Corn Belt states, supporting corn and soybean prices. The strengthening El Niño adds uncertainty for the winter outlook.

影響を受ける銘柄トウモロコシ▲大豆▲

1 件のソース
agweb.comTyne Morgan2026/10/02

価格反応と履歴

トウモロコシ▲強気現時点1d -0.5%5d -1.6%20d -7.0%

過去の強気な天候イベント1,465件の後、トウモロコシは5営業日で中央値 +0.2% 動き（54% が上昇。中央50%は -1.4% から +1.9%）、20営業日では +0.9% 動きました。

2026/08/10El Niño's Growing Threat: A Slower Harvest at Home, A Bigger Problem in Brazil - AgWeb+3.0%
2023/05/24The U.S. Now Has a Nearly 90% Chance of Seeing El Niño This Summer - AgWeb-3.4%
2022/10/21Unease ahead of 2023 grain harvest as record U.S. dryness spreads-0.9%
2026/10/01Historic El Niño puts Brazil crops at risk as Argentina gains a weather edge-1.2%
2018/01/26Daily rains slow Brazil’s early bean harvest+0.3%

大豆▲強気現時点1d -0.4%5d +0.3%20d -5.0%

過去の強気な天候イベント1,079件の後、大豆は5営業日で中央値 +0.3% 動き（54% が上昇。中央50%は -1.4% から +2.0%）、20営業日では +0.9% 動きました。

2023/05/24The U.S. Now Has a Nearly 90% Chance of Seeing El Niño This Summer - AgWeb-1.7%
2026/08/10El Niño's Growing Threat: A Slower Harvest at Home, A Bigger Problem in Brazil - AgWeb+1.5%
2025/05/15Argentina's soy farmers race ahead with harvest to beat the rains-0.4%
2026/10/01Historic El Niño puts Brazil crops at risk as Argentina gains a weather edge+0.3%
2021/04/21As Corn Climbs Above $6, Here's What's Behind the Market Move - AgWeb+5.3%

イベント直前の終値からの各商品ベンチマークの動き。過去の傾向は同種の過去イベントをまとめたものであり、起きたことを示すもので、今後を示すものではありません。投資助言ではありません。

トウモロコシ CORN · GP ▸

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大豆 SOY · GP ▸

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