
Bloomberg reports that markets increasingly expect the Federal Reserve to tighten policy after Congress approved large tax cuts and spending increases. Futures pricing implies the Fed's short-term rate will reach 2% by December, a quarter point above expectations from three months earlier.
Inflation and wage growth are cited as signs the economy is heating up.
Higher expected US rates tend to support the dollar, which weighs on dollar-priced commodities and can slow export demand. The fiscal-stimulus driver also raises the chance of faster tightening, which increases pressure on feed margins.
Setelah 2.356 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (60% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,3% sampai +0,7%), dan +0,4% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.