
Markets priced about a 65% chance of a Fed rate cut by December, with speculation the Fed could cut as soon as the upcoming meeting. The US dollar index was close to 22-month highs despite rising odds of easing.
Expectations of Fed easing typically weaken the dollar, but the currency's strength despite those odds keeps dollar-priced feed commodities under pressure and supports a firm dollar backdrop.
Setelah 2.356 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (60% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,3% sampai +0,7%), dan +0,4% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.