
Markets now expect the Federal Reserve to begin raising rates in March 2022 with a quarter-point move, scaled back from earlier pricing of a half-point increase. Traders expect the tightening cycle to continue into 2023 at a gentler pace.
A firmer rate path supports the US dollar, which makes dollar-priced commodities more expensive for foreign buyers and can soften commodity prices. Feed buyers should watch dollar strength against currencies of major exporters.
Setelah 2.356 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (60% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,3% sampai +0,7%), dan +0,4% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.