Danske Bank sees USD/BRL falling to 3.75 in three months, 3.65 in six months and 3.50 in twelve months, a modestly positive outlook for the real. The bank says pre-election political woes will still weigh on the currency in 2018.
It also notes the Brazilian Central Bank has kept rates unchanged and provided an abundant FX swap line.
A forecast for a firmer real would lower Brazilian buyers' import costs for feed ingredients over time, though the analysis is a forecast rather than a current price driver.
Setelah 213 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Real Brasil (BRL per USD) bergerak median -0,2% selama 5 sesi (46% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,5% sampai +0,9%), dan +0,2% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.