
An IFPRI analysis dated October 2, 2023 says India's July ban on non-basmati rice exports, plus later surcharges and minimum prices, has pushed benchmark Thai rice up 14%, Vietnamese rice up 22% and Indian white rice up 12%. Myanmar also banned exports, and the Philippines set retail price ceilings.
El Niño adds further threat to Asian rice output.
Export restrictions by India and Myanmar remove a large share of world rice trade, which keeps international rice prices elevated. Rough rice prices are likely to stay firm while the restrictions and El Niño risk persist.
Setelah 168 peristiwa kebijakan bullish sebelumnya, Gabah bergerak median +0,8% selama 5 sesi (57% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,7% sampai +2,1%), dan -0,4% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.